Cybersecurity Threats, Malware Trends, and Strategies: Discover risk mitigation strategies for modern threats to your organization, 2nd Edition

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Cybersecurity Threats, Malware Trends, and Strategies: Discover risk mitigation strategies for modern threats to your organization, 2nd Edition

Cybersecurity Threats, Malware Trends, and Strategies: Discover risk mitigation strategies for modern threats to your organization, 2nd Edition

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CVE Details. (n.d.). Microsoft Vulnerability Statistics. Retrieved from CVE Details: https://www.cvedetails.com/vendor/26/Microsoft.html During the period between 2002 and 2018, there were 3,959 CVEs attributed to Google products. Of these CVEs, 2,078 were rated critical or high score (CVE Details, n.d.). That's more than double the number of critical and high score vulnerabilities versus IBM and Oracle, and significantly more than Apple. Google has more critical and high severity vulnerabilities than any vendor in the top five list, with the exception of Microsoft. 1,982 of the CVEs assigned to Google products during this period had low access complexity (CVE Details, n.d.). Badger, L.; Johnson, C.; Skorupka, C.; Snyder, J.; Watermire, D. (October 2016). “NIST Special Publication 800-150”. NIST. Retrieved from https://nvlpubs.nist.gov/nistpubs/SpecialPublications/NIST.SP.800-150.pdf. Figure 2.16: The counts of critical and high rated severity CVEs for the top five vendors (1999–2018)

Figure 2.4: Vulnerabilities in the 25 products with the most CVEs categorized by product type (1999–2019) Google Android did not meet the goals in the vulnerability improvement framework during the 2016–2018 timeframe. There was a small increase in CVEs and a 285% increase in low complexity CVEs during this period. (CVE Details, n.d.) Focusing on the 5 years between 2014 and the end of 2018, there was a 90% increase in CVEs assigned to Microsoft products. There was a 14% increase in critical and high score vulnerabilities and a 193% increase in low access complexity CVEs. If there is a silver lining, it's that Microsoft has made it significantly harder to exploit vulnerabilities over the long term. Microsoft released compelling new data recently on the exploitability of their products that is worth a look to get a more complete picture (Matt Miller,2019).If my prediction is based on what the data tells us already happened in July and August, readers of the report will be led to believe that I actually predicted the future accurately, thus reinforcing the idea that we know more about the threat landscape than anyone else. Understanding when the prediction was made relative to the time period it was focused on will help you decide how credible the prediction and results are, and how trustworthy the vendor making the prediction is. Remember, predictions about the future are guesses – what happened in the past does not define what can happen in the future. Vendors’ motives Windows XP no longer received support as of April 2014, but there were 3 CVEs disclosed in 2017 and 1 in 2019, which is why the graph in figure 2.19 has a long tail (CVE Details, n.d.). Although the number of critical and high severity CVEs in Windows XP did drop from their highs in 2011 by the time support ended in early 2014, the number of CVEs with low access complexity remained relatively high. I don't think we can apply our vulnerability improvement framework to the last few years of Windows XP's life since the last year, in particular, was distorted by a gold rush to find and keep new zero-day vulnerabilities that Microsoft would presumably never fix. These vulnerabilities would be very valuable as long as they were keptsecret.

Let's look at Android, a mobile operating system manufactured by Google. Android's initial release date was in September 2008 and CVEs for Android start showing up in the NVD in 2009. On average, there were 215 CVEs filed for Android per year, with 129 CVEs per year rated critical or high severity; Android only had 43 CVEs in the 6 years spanning 2009 and 2014 (CVE Details, n.d.). The volume of CVEs in Android started to increase significantly in 2015 and has increased since then. Hopefully, I didn't blind you with too much science in this chapter—there were a lot of numbers to digest! Allow me to recap some of the key take-aways for this chapter.

EMEA noted the most cyber incidents, while APAC saw the fewest

CVE Details. (n.d.). Microsoft Internet Explorer vulnerability details. Retrieved from CVE Details: https://www.cvedetails.com/product/9900/Microsoft-Internet-Explorer.html?vendor_id=26 Figure 2.30: Critical and high severity rated CVEs and low complexity CVEs in Google Android as a percentage of all Google Android CVEs during (2009–2018) Apple macOS Vulnerability Trends All the data in this example is random and fictional – it’s provided so you can see an example of the format. { Using these measures, we want to see vendors making the vulnerabilities in their products consistently hard to exploit. We want to see the number of high access complexity CVEs (those with the lowest risk) trending up over time, and low complexity vulnerabilities (those with the highest risk) trending down or zero. Putanother way, we want the share of high complexity CVEs to increase. Figure 2.28: Critical and high severity rated CVEs and low complexity CVEs in Linux Kernel as a percentage of all Linux Kernel CVEs (1999–2018) Google Android Vulnerability Trends



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